Skip to main content

Services sector contracts, putting pressure on govt

Services sector contracts, putting pressure on govt
A private survey showed that India’s dominant services sector contracted for the first time in three months, adding pressure on Prime Minister Narendra Modi to undertake reforms to boost growth amid a hawkish turn from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI).The Nikkei India Services Purchasing Managers’ Index slid to 47.8 in February from 51.7 in January, as business conditions deteriorated due to poor demand. A number below 50 indicates a contraction.
A dip in the services sector, which contributes about 60% to the Indian economy, could hurt an economy that’s forecast to grow at its slowest pace in four years. Sluggish growth, coupled with a lack of adequate job creation, is building pressure on Modi to jumpstart economic activity before seeking re-election in 2019.
RBI, which will review interest rates on 5 April, has flagged risks to inflation from higher crude oil prices and the budget, which widened fiscal deficit goals to boost spending.Businesses, grappling with slowing demand, are also bracing for rising input costs.“RBI is focused on inflation. They have a target and as long as inflation is in higher trajectory, there’s no case for RBI to lower rates,” Madan Sabnavis, chief economist at Care Ratings, said.Inflation accelerated from a low 1.46% in June to 5.07% in January.
The Economic Times, New Delhi, 06th March 2018

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Household debt up, but India still lags emerging-market economies: RBI

  Although household debt in India is rising, driven by increased borrowing from the financial sector, it remains lower than in other emerging-market economies (EMEs), the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said in its Financial Stability Report. It added that non-housing retail loans, largely taken for consumption, accounted for 55 per cent of total household debt.As of December 2024, India’s household debt-to-gross domestic product ratio stood at 41.9 per cent. “...Non-housing retail loans, which are mostly used for consumption purposes, formed 54.9 per cent of total household debt as of March 2025 and 25.7 per cent of disposable income as of March 2024. Moreover, the share of these loans has been growing consistently over the years, and their growth has outpaced that of both housing loans and agriculture and business loans,” the RBI said in its report.Housing loans, by contrast, made up 29 per cent of household debt, and their growth has remained steady. However, disaggregated data sho...

External spillovers likely to hit India's financial system: RBI report

  While India’s growth remains insulated from global headwinds mainly due to buoyant domestic demand, the domestic financial system could, however, be impacted by external spillovers, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said in its half yearly Financial Stability Report published on Monday.Furthermore, the rising global trade disputes and intensifying geopolitical hostilities could negatively impact the domestic growth outlook and reduce the demand for bank credit, which has decelerated sharply. “Moreover, it could also lead to increased risk aversion among investors and further corrections in domestic equity markets, which despite the recent correction, remain at the high end of their historical range,” the report said.It noted that there is some build-up of stress, primarily in financial markets, on account of global spillovers, which is reflected in the marginal rise in the financial system stress indicator, an indicator of the stress level in the financial system, compared to its p...

Retail inflation cools to a six-year low of 2.82% in May on moderating food prices

  New Delhi: Retail inflation in India cooled to its lowest level in over six years in May, helped by a sharp moderation in food prices, according to provisional government data released Thursday.Consumer Price Index (CPI)-based inflation eased to 2.82% year-on-year, down from 3.16% in April and 4.8% in May last year, data from the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) showed. This marks the fourth consecutive month of sub-4% inflation, the longest such streak in at least five years.The data comes just days after the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) Monetary Policy Committee cut the repo rate by 50 basis points to 5.5%, its third straight cut and a cumulative reduction of 100 basis points since the easing cycle began in February. The move signals a possible pivot from inflation control to supporting growth.Food inflation came in at just 0.99% in May, down from 1.78% in April and a sharp decline from 8.69% a year ago.A Mint poll of 15 economists had projected CPI ...