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  India's robust growth numbers for the September quarter are raising questions about the need for lower rates even as record-low inflation gives the central bank ample room to resume reductions later this week, analysts said.India's economy expanded at a sharper-than-expected clip of 8.2 per cent in the July-September quarter, prompting analysts to raise their full-year growth estimates to above 7 per cent.That means the world's fifth-largest economy is expanding at a pace close to its estimated potential growth of 6.5 per cent-7 per cent. Potential growth is the rate an economy can expand without sparking inflation.India's retail inflation, however, which slowed to a record-low 0.25 per cent in October, is expected to remain benign for months."The December RBI policy will be set against a backdrop of resilient growth and ultra-low inflation. The stellar growth numbers reaffirm our view of a pause," said Gaura Sen Gupta, chief economist at IDFC First Bank....

  The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) expects microfinance lenders ’ boards to review their spreads against the cost of funds and operating efficiency, said Swaminathan J , Deputy Governor, RBI. He also urged them to question outliers to ensure pricing remains reasonable and reflects actual costs, risk, and efficiency improvements so that no lender takes undue advantage of a borrower’s circumstances.Speaking at a MFIN event in Mumbai on November 14, Swaminathan said, “The Reserve Bank expects lenders to use the room provided by the 2022 framework in a way that strengthens borrower welfare and long-term portfolio quality.”The 2022 reset of the microfinance framework removed pricing caps and aligned rules across all regulated lenders. Swaminathan noted that lighter regulation is possible only if industry standards remain high. “Flexibility and accountability travel together,” he said.  He stressed that lenders must properly assess borrowers’ incomes, seasonal variations, and exist...

The government’s move to make retail health insurance GST-free has done more than just cut costs, it has changed the way Indians buy health cover. New data from Policybazaar shows a sharp rise in demand for bigger covers and comprehensive protection. What’s changed after the 0 per cent GST exemption The average sum insured has jumped 38 per cent, from Rs 13 lakh to Rs 18 lakh. Nearly half of all new buyers (45 per cent) now opt for policies in the Rs 15–25 lakh range. Only 18 per cent are sticking with smaller covers below Rs 10 lakh. Millennials and mid-aged consumers are driving this shift, showing growing awareness of health and financial risks. Seniors and smaller cities step up The surge isn’t just among younger policyholders or metro buyers: Older customers (61-75 years and above) have shown an 11.5 per cent rise in buying high-value covers Tier-II cities are catching up, those choosing Rs 15-25 lakh plans rose from 44.1 per cent to 48.6 per cent Meanwhile, small-cover plans drop...

The Reserve Bank of India's (RBI's) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is set to announce the decision of its October meeting today. While a rate cut remains unlikely, the committee may revise the inflation forecast in today's meeting. Here are five key things you should know before the RBI's October MPC meet begins: 1. August 2025 MPC: A snapshot During its August meeting, the MPC retained the repo rate at 5.5 per cent after slashing it by 100 basis points (bps) in three consecutive cuts since February. One basis point is a hundredth of a percentage point. The rate cuts brought down the repo rate from 6.5 per cent in February. The repo rate is the interest rate at which the RBI lends money to commercial banks.The central bank also revised its Consumer Price Index (CPI)-based inflation projections downward due to softer food prices and easing global commodity costs. In its August MPC meeting, RBI maintained its stance as 'neutral.' The stance was shifted from '...

  The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has lowered its inflation forecast for 2025-26 to 2.6 per cent, down from the previous estimate of 3.1 per cent. Quarterly projections are as follows: Q2FY26 and Q3FY26 at 1.8 per cent, and Q4FY26 at 4 per cent. Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation for Q1 of 2026-27 is projected at 4.5 per cent.“The risks are evenly balanced,” RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra said. The MPC noted that the inflation outlook has become more favourable in recent months, mainly due to a sharp drop in food prices and the rationalisation of GST rates. The decline in overall inflation is largely driven by lower food inflation, supported by better supply conditions and government measures to manage the supply chain efficiently. The recent GST rate adjustments are expected to bring down the prices of several items in the CPI basket. As a result, overall inflation is likely to be softer than the August projection, mainly because of the GST cuts and lower food prices.Malhotra said...

  It’s not just humans who suffer from cognitive biases; markets do too. Interestingly, different financial markets exhibit distinct biases, each interpreting events through its own prism of prejudice. Take the recent announcements on GST reforms: equity markets have chosen to view them through the lens of growth, while bond and currency markets are focusing on potential macroeconomic risks—fiscal pressures and current account challenges. So, which lens captures the true pulse?Equity markets may be right in expecting GST reforms to revive consumption, which has remained lacklustre for a while. But the key question remains—will this revival come at the cost of broader macro stability?It is well known that consumption stocks have rallied since the GST rationalisation announcement. But what about bond markets? What signals are they sending since this rejig was announced from the ramparts of the Red Fort?The signs aren't encouraging. Bond prices have slumped and yields have surged sinc...